Banana Shire Breaks the Trend: Population Growth Defies State Forecasts

Banana Shire Breaks the Trend: Population Growth Defies State Forecasts

Published: 14th May 2025

Banana Shire Breaks the Trend:

Population Growth Defies State Forecasts

Government population forecasts said it would shrink. Instead, Banana Shire has just recorded its biggest population in over 20 years, marking a quiet regional success story.

New population data reveals Banana Shire has surpassed 15,000 residents for the first time since 2006, directly defying the latest official Queensland Government projections which anticipated that milestone to be out of reach.

As of 30 June 2024, the Shire’s Estimated Resident Population stood at 15,053, marking three consecutive years of consistent growth. That’s a 0.91% increase in just 12 months, unexpectedly strong figures during a time of economic pressure.

“At a time when many predicted declines, our community has quietly grown stronger,” said Banana Shire Mayor Nev Ferrier. “This isn’t just a statistic. It’s a sign of resilience, of opportunity, and of a region that’s heading in the right direction.”

The growth is broad-based, with every major locality recording an increase in population:

  • Moura–Banana led with a 1.82% increase
  • Goovigen–Rural North grew by 1.33%
  • Biloela–Thangool, the largest population centre, rose to 7,915 residents
  • Taroom, Theodore and surrounds all recorded steady gains

These figures contrast starkly with the Queensland Government's own projections, which expected Banana Shire’s population to fall to around 14,530 residents by 2026. Instead, the Shire has reached a new high.

Proactive Planning Behind the Growth

Council credits the growth to both the region’s liveability and its strategic investment in future-focused planning.

In response to mounting pressure on housing and worker accommodation, Banana Shire Council introduced its Major Projects Housing Demand and Levy Policy. Under this policy, projects valued over $50 million are required to contribute 0.7% of capital costs toward new housing solutions—ensuring that major investments also benefit the wider community.

“We know growth doesn’t just happen—it has to be supported,” Mayor Ferrier said. “This levy is a way to make sure the benefits of major projects extend beyond the job site and into our neighbourhoods, helping locals find a place to live.”

With multiple renewable energy and infrastructure projects in the pipeline, this approach is helping future-proof the region—and create homes that are accessible, affordable, and available to workers and residents alike.

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A Quiet Success Story

While regional Queensland recorded a faster growth rate overall (1.83%), Banana Shire’s steady, all-district growth during uncertain economic times tells a different kind of story—one of measured, community-driven progress.

“It’s a good-news story, and we don’t get enough of those,” said Mayor Ferrier. “This is Banana Shire proving what’s possible when you back your people, your planning, and your place.”